The slight slowdown of consumer price inflation in Germany in November does not yet constitute the beginning of lower inflation rates. Even though energy prices are dragging inflation, producer prices have drastically increased in the past year. Our estimates indicate that inflation rates will...

The Russian government's attack on Ukraine and the spiral of sanctions that has been set in motion have heightened inflationary pressure - especially in Europe. The EU's high dependency on Russian oil and gas imports harbours the risk that inflation in Europe will rise significantly and that the...

Economists have two standard explanations for the absence of substantial nominal wage pressures in the current macroeconomic climate. The first, and more traditional, view asserts that the NAIRU has drifted downward over the last decade, while the second posits the establishment of a "new...

The slight slowdown of consumer price infl ation in Germany in November does not yet constitute the beginning of lower infl ation rates. Even though energy prices are dragging infl ation, producer prices have drastically increased in the past year. Our estimates indicate that infl ation rates...

The Russian government’s attack on Ukraine and the spiral of sanctions that has been set in motion have heightened inflationary pressure - especially in Europe. The EU’s high dependency on Russian oil and gas imports harbours the risk that inflation in Europe will rise significantly and that...

Although central banks often advocate labor market reforms, the latter may lead to higher stabilization costs in the presence of habit persistence in consumption. This is more likely to occur when strong habit persistence is coupled with an inflation-averse central bank. The presence of habit...

Global liquidity expansion has been very dynamic since 2001. Contrary to conventionalwisdom, high money growth rates have not coincided with a concurrent rise in goodsprices. At the same time, however, asset prices have increased sharply, significantlyoutpacing the subdued development in...

It seems clear that the ECB will raise interest rates in July 2022 and end its asset purchase program. This should send a strong and important signal to markets and economic players that the ECB continues to take its mandate for price stability seriously. However, it cannot be said with absolute...