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Does accounting for spatial effects help forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
Girardin, Eric; Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich - 2009
shown that effect of accounting for spatial dependence is even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274376
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How helpful are spatial effects in forecasting the growth of Chinese provinces?
Girardin, Eric; Kholodilin, Konstantin A. - Siirtymätalouksien tutkimuslaitos, Suomen Pankki - 2010
longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared forecast error is about 8% at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008483926
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A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
Kholodilin, Konstantin Arkadievich; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2007
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038663
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Forecasting the prices and rents for flats in large German cities
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Mense, Andreas - 2012
-of-sample forecasting exercise, we find that both pooling and accounting for spatial effects helps to substantially improve the forecast …-of-sample forecasting of the growth rates of flats' prices and rents for the next six months is done. It shows that in most cities both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287317
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German cities to see further rises in housing prices and rents in 2013
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Mense, Andreas - In: DIW Economic Bulletin 2 (2012) 12, pp. 16-26
Over the past few years, prices and rents for flats went up in most German cities. This trend is expected to continue in 2013. Berlin, Hamburg, Munich, and Frankfurt am Main will still see the highest increases in property prices and rents. In these cities, housing prices are rising much faster...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291279
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A dynamic panel data approach to the forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - 2007 - Corrected version
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012039490
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A Dynamic Panel Data Approach to the Forecasting of the GDP of German Länder
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss; … - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2007
even more pronounced at longer forecasting horizons (the forecast accuracy gain as measured by the root mean squared … spatial dependence structure into regional forecasting models, especially, when long-term forecasts are made. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004963925
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Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities
Kholodilin, Konstantin A.; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010331958
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Inflation as a global phenomenon: Some implications for policy analysis and forecasting
Kabukçuoğlu, Ayşe; Martínez-García, Enrique - 2015
slack or oil price fluctuations, motivated by a novel interpretation of the forecasting implications of the workhorse open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011440123
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Business confidence and forecasting of housing prices and rents in large German cities
Cholodilin, Konstantin Arkadʹevič; Siliverstovs, Boriss - 2014
In this paper, we evaluate the forecasting ability of 115 indicators to predict the housing prices and rents in 71 … tested in a framework of a quasi out-of-sample forecasting. Its results are quite heterogeneous. No single indicator appears …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010238830