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The Marketing Performance of Illinois and Kansas Wheat Farmers
Dietz, Sarah N.; Aulerich, Nicole M.; Irwin, Scott H.; … - In: Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics 41 (2009) 01
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas over 1982â … marketing performance of wheat farmers in Illinois and Kansas is about equal to the market if a 24- or 20-month market benchmark … harvest benchmark is used. The sensitivity of marketing performance to the market benchmark considered is explained by the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005041379
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The Value of USDA Situation and Outlook Information in Hog and Cattle Markets
Isengildina, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - 2005
The economic value of public situation and outlook information has long been a subject of debate. The purpose of this study is to investigate the economic value of USDA reports in hog and cattle markets. The investigation is based on event study analysis, with the "events" consisting of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442967
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Wheat Forward Contract Pricing: Evidence on Forecast Power and Risk Premia
Shi, Wei; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Dietz, Sarah N. - 2005
While the risk premium hypothesis in futures markets has been the subject of a long and continuous controversy, the risk premium hypothesis in forward markets is also of interest among economists. The hypothesis is supported by some theoretical arguments and empirical evidence yet remains an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442969
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OPTIMAL HEDGING WITH VIEWS: A BAYESIAN APPROACH
Shi, Wei; Irwin, Scott H. - 2004
The optimal hedging model has become the standard theoretical model of normative hedging behavior due to its intuitive tradeoff of expected return with risk, its effcient use of information and its easy implementation. In practice, the model can be easily implemented with the Parameter Certainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442977
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Are Corn and Soybean Options Too Expensive?
Urcola, Hernan A.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2006
A growing body of recent evidence suggests that premiums for financial options might be too high. For agricultural options, market participants often make similar claims, however there is very limited scientific literature to prove or disprove such claims. This research investigates the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442979
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Should Farmers Follow the Recommendations of Market Advisory Services? A Bayesian Approach to Performance Evaluation
Cabrini, Silvina M.; Good, Darrel L.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2006
marketing recommendations. Results indicate that even when skeptical beliefs are incorporated into the model a few programs in … corn and several programs in soybeans appear to be better marketing alternative compared to a naïve strategy that mimics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442981
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THE VALUE OF USDA OUTLOOK INFORMATION: AN INVESTIGATION USING EVENT STUDY ANALYSIS
Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L.; Gomez, Jennifer K. - 2001
The economic value of public situation and outlook information has long been a subject of debate. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the economic value of USDA WASDE reports in corn and soybean markets. The investigation is based on event study analysis, with the "events" consisting of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009442999
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THE EFFECTS OF FUTURES TRADING BY LARGE HEDGE FUNDS AND CTAS ON MARKET VOLATILITY
Holt, Bryce R.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2000
This study uses the newly available data from the CFTC to investigate the market impact of futures trading by large hedge funds and CTAs. Regression results show that there is a positive relationship between the trading volume of large hedge funds and CTAs and market volatility. However, a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443005
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Has the Performance of the Hog Options Market Changed?
Urcola, Hernan A.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2006
The hog option contract has served as a risk management tool for the pork industry for more than 20 years. However, very limited information exists about how this market behaves and how it was affected by the contract redesign of 1996. This paper evaluates the efficiency of hog options markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443458
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Hog Options: Contract Redesign and Market Efficiency
Urcola, Hernan A.; Irwin, Scott H. - 2010
This article tests the efficiency of the hog options market and assesses the impact of the 1996 contract redesign on efficiency. We find that the hog options market is efficient, but some options yielded excess returns during the live hogs period but not during the lean hogs period. Our findings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009443770