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An empirical growth model for major oil exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009518225
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An empirical growth model for major oil exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2012
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009535794
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An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi - 2012
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013107701
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An Empirical Growth Model for Major Oil Exporters
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2021
This paper develops a long-run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the 'Dutch disease' and the 'resource curse', which primarily focuses on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315924
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Forecasting Random Walks under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012714199
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Forecasting with Panel Data : Estimation Uncertainty Versus Parameter Heterogeneity
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Pick, Andreas; Timmermann, Allan - 2022
We develop novel forecasting methods for panel data with heterogeneous parameters and examine them together with existing approaches. We conduct a systematic comparison of their predictive accuracy in settings with different cross-sectional (N) and time (T) dimensions and varying degrees of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013292495
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Forecasting Random Walks Under Drift Instability
Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2011
This paper considers forecast averaging when the same model is used but estimation is carried out over different … estimation windows. It develops theoretical results for random walks when their drift and/or volatility are subject to one or … more structural breaks. It is shown that compared to using forecasts based on a single estimation window, averaging over …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012756639
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Variable selection and forecasting in high dimensional linear regressions with structural breaks
Chudik, Alexander; Pesaran, M. Hashem; Sharifvaghefi, Mahrad - 2020
This paper is concerned with problem of variable selection and forecasting in the presence of parameter instability. There are a number of approaches proposed for forecasting in the presence of breaks, including the use of rolling windows or exponential down-weighting. However, these studies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012258549
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Chapter 14 Survey Expectations
Pesaran, M. Hashem; Weale, Martin - 2006
This paper focuses on survey expectations and discusses their uses for testing and modelling of expectations. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for heterogeneity of expectations is emphasized. A weak form of the rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023692
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Oil exports and the Iranian economy
Esfahani, Hadi Salehi; Mohaddes, Kamiar; Pesaran, M. Hashem - 2009
This paper develops a long run growth model for a major oil exporting economy and derives conditions under which oil revenues are likely to have a lasting impact. This approach contrasts with the standard literature on the "Dutch disease" and the "resource curse", which primarily focus on short...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897747