This paper constructs a macro-finance model with two types of borrowers: entrepreneurs who engage in productive activities and gamblers who play in lotteries. It links a central bank's interest rate policy to expected cash flows of both types of borrowers. Via this link we study how the...

Before the onset of the ongoing credit crisis I concluded that the available evidence supported the notion that financial markets were (significantly) underpricing risk . It will be argued in this paper that inherent (or structural) difficulties in the pricing of all sorts of risks is an...