Tables and figures -- Preface -- Abbreviations -- Contributors. Introduction / Naoyuki Yoshino, Peter J. Morgan, and Bihong Huang -- Transitioning from low-income growth to high-income growth: is there a middle-income trap? / David Bulman, Maya Eden, and Ha Nguyen -- The middle-income trap:...

The ratio of Indian to US per capita output over the past 45 years has displayed a distinctive "V"-shaped pattern. We show that a strikingly similar V-shaped pattern is visible not just in aggregate output .figures, but also as the primary determinant of long-term movements in the...

Following Bai (2004) and Bai and Ng (2004) we estimate a common factor representation of a panel of output series for India, disaggregated by 15 states and 14 broad industry groups. We find that a single common "V-Factor" accounts for a large part of the significant shift in the cross-sectional...