We explore the dynamics of inflation, inflation expectations, and seigniorage-financed fiscal deficits in Mexico. To do so, we estimate the model in Sargent, Williams, and Zha (2009) using Mexican CPI inflation data. This model features dual expected inflation equilibriums and regime switching...

This paper estimates a hidden Markov model where inflation is determined by government deficits financed through money creation and by expectations dynamics. The baseline model, proposed by Sargent et al. (2009) is able to distinguish between causes and remedies of hyperinflation, such as...

En este trabajo se evalua la sustentabilidad de la politica fiscal en Mexico de acuerdo con el comportamiento de la restriccion presupuestaria del gobierno y con el saldo de la deuda acumulada en los pasados dos decenios. Se utiliza el valor de la deuda y el analisis empirico se basa en Wilcox,...