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A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011327543
This paper generalises Boswijk and Zu (2018)'s adaptive unit root test for time series with nonstationary volatility to a multivariate context. Persistent changes in the innovation variance matrix of a vector autoregressive model lead to size distortions in conventional cointegration tests,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012026102
In a recent article, Xu (2008) developed the asymptotic theory for autoregressions around a polynomial trend, under nonstationary volatility. In the same article, Xu proposed a set of t-tests for the regression coefficients and claimed that these tests are asymptotically standard normal. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112126
This paper studies inference for the realized Laplace transform (RLT) of volatility in a fixed-span setting using bootstrap methods. Specifically, since standard wild bootstraps provide inconsistent inference, we propose local Gaussian (LG) and modified wild (MW) bootstrap procedures, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843479
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991261
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression error as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320164
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492694
This paper studies inference for the realized Laplace transform (RLT) of volatility in a fixed‐span setting using bootstrap methods. Specifically, since standard wild bootstrap procedures deliver inconsistent inference, we propose a local Gaussian (LG) bootstrap, establish its first‐order...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362565
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression error as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001727625
Conditional heteroskedasticity is an important feature of many macroeconomic and financial time series. Standard residual-based bootstrap procedures for dynamic regression models treat the regression error as i.i.d. These procedures are invalid in the presence of conditional heteroskedasticity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011431797