In the first chapter, I compare the forecasting accuracy of different high-frequency based volatility models. The empirical analysis shows that the HEAVY and the Realized GARCH generally outperform the rest of the models. The inclusion of overnight returns considerably improves volatility...

On interpreting the regression discontinuity design as a local experiment -- Identification and estimation using a density discontinuity approach -- The deterremce effect of prison: dynamic theory and evidence -- An overview of geographically disontinuous treatment assignments with an...

Bootstrap; Europäische Währungsunion; Frühwarnsystem; Makroökonomische Ungleichgewichte; Makroökonomische Überwachung; Penalized Splines; Risikoprämien auf Staatsschulden; Staatsschuldenkrise; Semiparametrische Regression; Signalansatz