of financial uncertainty over the period 1969-2008. We find evidence in favor of a systematic response to financial … uncertainty over and above that to expected inflation, output gap, and output growth. However, this evidence regards the Greenspan …-Bernanke period only. Focusing on this period, the "risk-management" approach is found to be responsible for monetary policy easings …

-specific) uncertainty and offers ten main takeaways. The second part reviews contributions on the fast-growing strand of the literature … focusing on the macroeconomic effects of uncertainty spillovers and global uncertainty. The last part proposes a novel measure … of global financial uncertainty and shows that its unexpected variations are associated to statistically and economically …

uncertainty and skewness. Embedding these measures in a VAR framework, we show that unexpected changes in uncertainty are … response of skewness to uncertainty shocks shows that skewness substantially amplifies the recessionary effects of uncertainty. …

common and a sector-specific uncertainty component. We apply our framework to a large dataset of disaggregated industrial … production series for the US economy. Our results indicate that common uncertainty and uncertainty linked to nondurable goods … both recorded their pre-pandemic global peaks during the 1973-75 recession. In contrast, durable goods uncertainty recorded …

Inspired by Aumann and Serrano (2008) and Foster and Hart (2009), we propose risk-neutral options' implied measures of … riskiness and investigate their significance in predicting the cross section of expected returns per unit of risk. The empirical … stock returns. Stocks in the lowest riskiness portfolio have economically and statistically higher risk-adjusted returns …

This paper investigates the predictability of variance and value at-risk (VaR) measures in international stock markets … determine the persistency of these risk measures. We find that for all G7 countries considered in the paper persistency in …