This paper explores the determinants of deviations of ex-post budget outcomes from first-release outcomes published towards the end of the year of budget implementation. The predictive content of the first-release outcomes is important, because these figures are an input for the next budget and...

We use a newly available dataset of euro area quarterly national accounts fiscal data and construct multivariate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the government deficit, revenue and expenditure in order to assess its information content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and...

Reaching for a new deal: ambitious governance, economic meltdown, and polarized politics / Theda Skocpol, Lawrence R. Jacobs -- Hard-fought legacy: Obama, congressional democrats, and the struggle for comprehensive health care reform / Lawrence R. Jacobs, Theda Skocpol -- Eliminating the market...