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Meyer, Brent; Mihaylov, Emil; Barrero, Jose Maria; … - 2022

We examine several measures of uncertainty to make five points. First, equity market traders and executives at nonfinancial firms have shared similar assessments about one-year-ahead uncertainty since the pandemic struck. Both the one-year VIX and our survey-based measure of firm-level...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013351768

Pandemic-Era Uncertainty on Main Street and Wall Street

Meyer, Brent; Mihaylov, Emil; Davis, Steven J.; Parker, … - 2021

We draw on the monthly Survey of Business Uncertainty (SBU) to make three observations about pandemic-era uncertainty in the U.S. economy. First, equity market traders and executives of nonfinancial firms share similar assessments about uncertainty at one-year look- ahead horizons. That is, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242015

Pandemic-era uncertainty

Meyer, Brent; Mihaylov, Emil; Barrero, Jose Maria; … - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186704

The Impact of Covid-19 on Productivity

Bloom, Nicholas; Bunn, Phillip; Mizen, Paul; Smietanka, … - 2022

We analyse the impact of Covid-19 on productivity using data from an innovative monthly firm survey panel that asks for quantitative impacts of Covid on inputs and outputs. We find total factor productivity (TFP) fell by up to 5% during 2020–21. The overall impact combined large reductions in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300951

Pandemic-Era Uncertainty

Meyer, Brent; Mihaylov, Emil; Barrero, Jose Maria; … - 2022

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406440

A trapped factors model of innovation

Bloom, Nicholas; Romer, Paul Michael; Terry, Stephen; … - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009745204

Economic uncertainty before and during the COVID-19 pandemic

Altig, Dave; Baker, Scott Brent; Barrero, Jose Maria; … - 2020

pandemic: implied stock market volatility, newspaper-based economic policy uncertainty, twitter chatter about economic … greatly-from an 80 percent rise (relative to January 2020) in two-year implied volatility on the S&P 500 to a 20-fold rise in … forecaster disagreement about UK growth. Third, time paths also differ: implied volatility rose rapidly from late February and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389586

The world uncertainty index

Ahir, Hites; Bloom, Nicholas; Furceri, Davide - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102635

Uncertainty and the dynamics of R&D

Bloom, Nicholas (contributor) - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003757006

Uncertainty and the dynamics of R&D

Bloom, Nicholas - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003411315