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The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the € /US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according...
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exchange rate models for the synthetic euro. Using the same data set, variable definitions and sample period offers the … ECB's small-sized euro area wide macro-economic model. In this order the approaches feature an increasing degree of … results confirm the high likelihood for the euro having been undervalued in Q4 2000, while stressing the significant empirical …
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This paper applies the identified VAR methodology to synthetic euro area data from 1980 till 1998 to study the macro …-economic effects of an unexpected change in monetary policy in the euro area. The focus is on the area-wide monetary transmission. It … is shown that the overall macro-economic effects of a monetary policy shock in the euro area are very similar to those …
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The euro became an international currency when it was created two decades ago. However, the euro's internationalisation … peaked as early as 2005 and it was never comparable to the US dollar. Its international status declined with the euro crisis …, Europe is reflecting on how to promote actively the internationalisation of the euro, to help ensure its autonomy. But …
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Euro (D€) project, which provides a unique lens for assessing the potential and challenges of CBDCs. The paper differs from …
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