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The study analyses the characteristics of professional exchange rate forecasts for the € /US-$ rate. The results indicate that the quality of forecasts produced by professional economists is rather poor and incompatible with the rational expectations hypothesis. This dismal result is according...
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exchange rate models for the synthetic euro. Using the same data set, variable definitions and sample period offers the … ECB's small-sized euro area wide macro-economic model. In this order the approaches feature an increasing degree of … results confirm the high likelihood for the euro having been undervalued in Q4 2000, while stressing the significant empirical …
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This paper applies the identified VAR methodology to synthetic euro area data from 1980 till 1998 to study the macro …-economic effects of an unexpected change in monetary policy in the euro area. The focus is on the area-wide monetary transmission. It … is shown that the overall macro-economic effects of a monetary policy shock in the euro area are very similar to those …
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Euro (D€) project, which provides a unique lens for assessing the potential and challenges of CBDCs. The paper differs from …
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