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A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896
We study identiÞcation in a class of three-equation monetary models. We argue that these models are typically not identiÞed. For any given exactly identiffed model, we provide an algorithm that generates a class of equivalent models that have the same reduced form. We use our algorithm to...
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subjective theory of probability is that the subjective probabilities must be additive, so that they are coherent, which means … frequency theory of probability, which can only hold in the very long run as one approaches infinity. Rational expectationists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014109858
A major source of confusion about Keynes’s Liquidity Preference theory of the rate of interest is the failure of … readers of the General Theory to recognize that chapter 13 is an introductory chapter that lays the ground work and … foundations for chapter 15. Keynes’s actual theory is presented in chapters 15. All of the elements are then brought together in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014110247
) on pages 207-208 of the General Theory in chapter 15 in the course of his discussions of the problem of Absolute … reviewing the General Theory. Unfortunately, he incorrectly referenced pages 200-201 of the General Theory on page 154 in his … discussion by Keynes of this problem on pages 201-202 of the General Theory. Keynes's discussion appears on pages 207-208. Hicks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012918507
existing theory of probability that supports the claims made by rational expectationists. There is no right(wrong), correct … theory of probability. Likewise, all objective theories of probability deny the existence of subjective probability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012908227
The theory of rational expectations has no foundation in any extant theory of probability. None of the five existing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910371