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Keynes, mathematics and probability : a reappraisal
Brady, Michael Emmett - In: International journal of applied economics and … 20 (2012) 2, pp. 324-357
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009530167
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Keynes, Boole and the interval approach to probability
Brady, Michael Emmett; Arthmar, Rogério - In: History of economic ideas : HEI 20 (2012) 3, pp. 65-84
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009745325
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John Maynard Keynes's upper and lower valued probabilities : a study of how statisticians, philosophers, logicians, historians, and economists failed to comprehend Keynes's breakth...
Brady, Michael Emmett - In: International journal of applied economics and … 21 (2013) 2, pp. 254-272
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009757333
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The Restricted Role of Caprice (Whim) in J M Keynes’s Interval Valued Theory of Probability in the A Treatise on Probability, General Theory, and in the Keynes-Townshend Correspond...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
Keynes recognized that there were a few cases where his rational analysis of decision making under conditions of uncertainty and risk using: (a) interval valued probability in Parts II and III of the A Treatise on Probability,(b) decision weights in Part IV of the A Treatise on Probability ,or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835277
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Some Examples of 21st Century Philosophers Who Have Written About Keynes’s Logical Theory of Probability, but Have Skipped Part II of the A Treatise on Probability, Where Keynes Pr...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
Nearly one hundred years after Keynes published his A Treatise on Probability in 1921,it appears that practically no philosophers have read Part II of the A Treatise on Probability in either the 20th or 21st centuries. This simply means that no modern day philosopher is in any position to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842021
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Keynesian Uncertainty Can Only Be Represented by Imprecise, Non Additive, Interval Valued Probability or Decision Weights Like Keynes’s C : Ordinal Probability Can’t Represent Keyn...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
J M Keynes's two logical relations of rational degree of probability, α, 0≤α≤1 and Evidential Weight of the Argument, w, 0≤w≤1, where w measures the degree of completeness of the evidence, can't be represented or associated with ordinal probability, although Keynes's theory of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843351
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The Claim That the Diagram on Page 39 of Keynes’s a Treatise on Probability(1921) Represents ‘Keynes’s View of Probability’ (S. Bradley, 2019), Has No Support : It Represents a Ver...
Brady, Michael Emmett - 2020
A major error in analyzing how Keynes operationalized his logical theory of probability in 1921 is to assume that Keynes's theoretical structure is presented by him at the end of Chapter III of the A Treatise on Probability on pp. 38-40, which contains a diagram on page 39 that Keynes himself...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844301