. The paper begins with a discussion of causal mechanisms linking economic conditions to crime and violence, both overall … and for youths. We investigate the effect of short-term fluctuations in economic activity on crime and violence (and on …

The epidemic of youth violence in the United States peaked in 1993 and has been followed by a rapid, sustained drop. In … youth violence has been narrowly confined with respect to race, sex, and age, but not geography. Given the volatility in the … rates of juvenile violence, forecasting rates is a risky business indeed. Effectively narrowing the range of plausible …

The epidemic of youth violence in the United States peaked in 1993 and has been followed by a rapid, sustained drop. In … youth violence has been narrowly confined with respect to race, sex, and age, but not geography. Given the volatility in the … rates of juvenile violence, forecasting rates is a risky business indeed. Effectively narrowing the range of plausible …