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This paper examines the behavior of remittances over the business cycle and their potential to act as a stabilizer during periods of high business cycle volatility. Four main findings are reported. First, in theory, the cyclical behavior of remittances depends on the motives to remit. Second,...
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output, investment, and net exports. We reexamine the importance of world real interest rate shocks using an approach that …'s observable endogenous variables. Then we use variance decompositions to examine the importance of each shock. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735713
This paper examines the behavior of remittances over the business cycle and their potential to act as a stabilizer during periods of high business cycle volatility. Four main findings are reported. First, in theory, the cyclical behavior of remittances depends on the motives to remit. Second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012995941
We analyze the evolution and drivers of inflation during the pandemic and the likely trajectory of inflation in the near-term using an event study of inflation around global recessions and a factor-augmented vector auto-regression (FAVAR) model. We report three main results. First, the decline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584054
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-2000 sample, the initial response of investment to a productivity shock with responses in the top quartile is 60% higher than the … shock. Conversely, a slowdown after a boom can lead to a long lasting investment slump, which is unresponsive to policy … smoothing in the investment response to aggregate shocks. The remaining 40% is explained by general equilibrium forces. The …
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