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Capital flow and commodity cycles have long been connected with economic crises. Sparse historical data, however, has made it difficult to connect their timing. We date turning points in global capital flows and commodity prices across two centuries and provide estimates from alternative data...
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The global economy is losing steam. After a weak start in the beginning of this year, world production accelerated … 2020 world output is expected to rise by 3.4 percent. Despite the gradual global economic slowdown, capacity utilization in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060516
World economic growth is moderating accompanied by a broad-based deterioration in economic sentiment. Following a … development. We expect the global economy to expand at a rate of 3.7 percent this year, followed by 3.4 next year. This is a … to expect world production to increase by 3.4 percent. The escalation of trade conflicts, the possibility of a “hard …
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World economic growth has picked up from the sluggish pace registered at the start of the year. We expect global growth …
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report three major findings: First, since the tightening cycle will take place in the context of a robust U.S. economy, it …
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This paper analyzes the joint behavior of international capital flows by foreign and domestic agents-gross capital flows-over the business cycle and during financial crises. The authors show that gross capital flows are very large and volatile, especially relative to net capital flows. When...
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transactions take place. The authors find that globalization via the diversification channel expanded throughout the world during …
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