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The time consistency of monetary and fiscal policies

Alvarez, Fernando; Kehoe, Patrick J.; Neumeyer, Pablo - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - 2003

We show that optimal monetary and fiscal policies are time consistent for a class of economies often used in applied work, economies appealing because they are consistent with the growth facts. We establish our results in two steps. We first show that for this class of economies, the Friedman...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367747

On the desirability of fiscal constraints in a monetary union

Chari, V.V.; Kehoe, Patrick J. - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - 2003

The desirability of fiscal constraints in monetary unions depends critically on whether the monetary authority can commit to follow its policies. If it can commit, then debt constraints can only impose costs. If it cannot commit, then fiscal policy has a free-rider problem, and debt constraints...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367645

How good are the government’s deficit and debt projections and should we care?

Kliesen, Kevin L.; Thornton, Daniel L. - In: Review (2012) Jan, pp. 21-39

Each year, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) publishes its Budget and Economic Outlook. The CBO’s deficit projections for the current fiscal year (FY) and the next 10 FYs are widely followed because they provide an assessment of the medium-term budget outlook based on current law and a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009416054

Stability Criteria and Convergence: The Role of the System of National Accounts for Fiscal Policy in Europe

Brück, Tilman; Cors, Andreas; Zimmermann, Klaus F.; … - DIW Berlin (Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung) - 2002

The standardisation of the European systems of national accounts has progressed significantly in recent years. Some room for interpretation remains in regard to some accounting standards, the periodicity of the data, and the quality of the forecasts of budget deficits. Yet national accounts data...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069043

Coordination of fiscal policies in a world economy

Kehoe, Patrick J. - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - 1986

This paper provides a simple counterexample to the standard belief that in a world economy in which all countries are small, strategic interactions between policymakers are trivial and thus cooperative and noncooperative government policies coincide. It is well known that this holds for tariff...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005498546

The expected federal budget surplus: how much confidence should the public and policymakers place in the projections?

Kliesen, Kevin L.; Thornton, Daniel L. - In: Review (2001) Mar, pp. 11-24

When the government runs a deficit, it can borrow from the public—that is, it can create debt. Conversely, when the government runs a surplus, it can retire that debt. For the past three years, the federal government has recorded budget surpluses, and both the White House Office of Management...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005726131

The relationship between the federal funds rate and the Fed's federal funds rate target: is it open market or open mouth operations?

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2000

It is widely believed that the Fed controls the funds rate by altering the degree of pressure in the reserve market through open market operations when it changes its target for the federal funds rate. Recently, however, several economists have suggested that open market operations may not be...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360541

Identifying the liquidity effect: the case of nonborrowed reserves

Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1996

Despite the fact that efforts to identify it empirically have largely been futile, the liquidity effect plays a central … statistically significant and economically important liquidity effect when nonborrowed reserves is used as the indicator of monetary … a liquidity effect. The paper points out how changes in the demand for borrowed reserves can be used to identify whether …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360647

If exchange rates are random walks, then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong

Alvarez, Fernando; Atkeson, Andrew; Kehoe, Patrick J. - In: Quarterly Review (2008) Jul, pp. 2-9

The key question asked by standard monetary models used for policy analysis is, How do changes in short-term interest rates affect the economy? All of the standard models imply that such changes in interest rates affect the economy by altering the conditional means of the macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360892

If exchange rates are random walks, then almost everything we say about monetary policy is wrong

Alvarez, Fernando; Atkeson, Andrew; Kehoe, Patrick J. - Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis - 2007

The key question asked by standard monetary models used for policy analysis, How do changes in short-term interest rates affect the economy? All of the standard models imply that such changes in interest rates affect the economy by altering the conditional means of the macroeconomic aggregates...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367644

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