Starting in 2006 the German economy currently experiences a cyclical revival which spreads to the labor market. Unemployment decreases markedly and regular employment rises. At present, virtually all professional forecasts expect this upswing to continue in the foreseeable future. Against this...

This paper provides new estimates of a timevarying NAIRU for Germany taking account of the structural break caused by German unification based on the Kalman Filter and on a partially linear model as two alternatives. Estimating a standard Phillips curve, the sum of coefficients associated with...

A common method of evaluating the scope for demand expansion is to try to estimate a threshold rate of unemployment above which policies of demand stimulus are non-inflationary. However, this non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) seems to have been anything but stable over the...

At the turn of the millennium three frequently cited potential causes of new challenges for wage policy in Germany are revisited in this study: skilled- biased technological progress, the increasing international integration of labor and product markets, and the monetary integration of the EMU....

This paper deals with a critical assessment and a reestimation of the "non-accelerating in ation rate of unemployment" (NAIRU) for Germany. There are quite a few obstacles to perceiving the NAIRU as an understandable and easy-to-use analytical instrument, suitable for economic policy: the...

Diese Studie beschäftigt sich mit drei Herausforderungen, mit denen die Lohnpolitik an der Schwelle des nächsten Jahrtausends konfrontiert wird: Ein technischer Fortschritt, der insbesondere gering qualifizierte Arbeit freisetzt, die zunehmende internationale Integration der Arbeits- und...