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). These priors can be naturally elicited using economic theory, which provides guidance on the joint dynamics of macroeconomic …
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priors can be naturally elicited using economic theory, which provides guidance on the joint dynamics of macroeconomic time …
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This paper considers Bayesian regression with normal and doubleexponential priors as forecasting methods based on large panels of time series. We show that, empirically, these forecasts are highly correlated with principal component forecasts and that they perform equally well for a wide range...
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