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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001700490
In addition to its micro analysis, this paper also asks whether faster productivity growth reduces inflation, raises …A basic tenet of economic science is that productivity growth is the source of growth in real income per capita. But … our results raise doubts by creating a direct link between macro productivity growth and the micro evolution of the income …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466829
, this paper also asks whether faster productivity growth reduces inflation, raises nominal wage growth, or raises profits …. We find that an acceleration or deceleration of the productivity growth trend alters the inflation rate by at least one …A basic tenet of economic science is that productivity growth is the source of growth in real income per capita. But …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013228746
the principal topics of macroeconomics - namely, growth, inflation, and unemployment. The author re-examines their salient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012675489
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993407
This paper provides novel evidence on exchange rate expectations of both chartists and fundamentalists separately. These groups indeed form expectations differently. Chartists change their expectations more often; however, all professionals´ expectations vary considerably as they generally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292796
Nowadays foreign exchange interventions occur in emerging market economies whereas empirical studies on interventions mainly refer to advanced economies. However, interventions in emerging markets are different from those in advanced economies: they occur regularly and central banks have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294426
Early warning systems (EWSs) are subject to restrictions that apply to exchange rates in general: fundamentals matter but their influence is small and unstable. Keeping this in mind, five lessons emerge : First, EWSs have robust forecasting power and thus help policy-makers to prevent crises....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295956
This paper suggests that exchange rates are related to economic fundamentals over medium-term horizons, such as a month or longer. We find from a large panel of individual professionals' forecasts that good exchange rate forecasts benefit from the proper understanding of fundamentals,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010307185
This study examines foreign exchange intervention based on novel daily data covering 33 countries from 1995 to 2011. We find that intervention is widely used and an effective policy tool, with a success rate in excess of 80 percent under some criteria. The policy works well in terms of smoothing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641018