Intro; Title page; Table of Contents; Copyright; List of Figures; List of Tables; Preface; Chapter 1. Linear Regression Model; Abstract; 1.1 Inference in Linear Regression Models; 1.2 Testing for Violations of the Linear Regression Framework; 1.3 Specifying the Regressors; 1.4 Issues With...

We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...

We use monthly data on the US riskless yield curve for a 1982-2015 sample to show that mixing simple regime switching dynamics with Nelson-Siegel factor forecasts from time series models extended to encompass variables that summarize the state of monetary policy, leads to superior predictive...

We perform a comprehensive examination of the recursive, comparative predictive performance of a number of linear and non-linear models for UK stock and bond returns. We estimate Markov switching, threshold autoregressive (TAR), and smooth transition autoregressive (STR) regime switching models,...