This paper offers a new method for estimation and forecasting of the linear and nonlinear time series when the stationarity assumption is violated. Our general local parametric approach particularly applies to general varying-coefficient parametric models, such as AR or GARCH, whose coefficients...

This paper contributes to the understanding of the source of identification in panel data models. Recent research has established that few time periods suffice to identify interesting structural effects in nonseparable panel data models even in the presence of complex correlated unobservables,...