Showing 1 - 10 of 57
We develop a tractable dynamic model of an index option market maker with limited capital and characterize how option prices depend on inventory risk and market maker wealth. The risk averse market maker absorbs positive demand by end users and requires a more negative variance risk premium when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938291
Equity options display a strong factor structure. The first principal components of the equity volatility levels, skews, and term structures explain a substantial fraction of the cross-sectional variation. Furthermore, these principal components are highly correlated with the S&P500 index option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007655
We propose a novel factor model for option returns. Option exposures are estimated nonparametrically and factor risk premia can vary nonlinearly with states. The model is estimated using regressions, with minimal assumptions on factor and option return dynamics. Using index options, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213854
We show that accounting information releases generate large and immediate price impacts, i.e. jumps, in credit default swap (CDS) spreads. Our approach is multivariate, which allows for identification of information events under the presence of confounding news, such as credit events and other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114537
Rather than assuming a fixed recovery rate in estimation, we estimate recovery rates from CDS spreads, using three years of daily data on 152 corporates. We use a quadratic pricing model which ensures nonnegative default probabilities and recovery rates. The estimated cross-section of recovery...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132238
Observable covariates are useful for predicting default under the natural measure, but several findings question their value for explaining credit spreads under the pricing measure. We introduce a discrete time no-arbitrage model with observable covariates, which allows for a closed form...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115100
Many studies have documented that daily realized volatility estimates based on intraday returns provide volatility forecasts that are superior to forecasts constructed from daily returns only. We investigate whether these forecasting improvements translate into economic value added. To do so we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116276
We develop a GARCH option model with a variance premium by combining the Heston-Nandi (2000) dynamic with a new pricing kernel that nests Rubinstein (1976) and Brennan (1979). While the pricing kernel is monotonic in the stock return and in variance, its projection onto the stock return is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116459
Equity risk measured by beta is of great interest to both academics and practitioners. Existing estimates of beta use historical returns. Many studies have found option-implied volatility to be a strong predictor of future realized volatility. We find that option-implied volatility and skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116997
This paper investigates the importance of market incompleteness by comparing the rates of risk aversion estimated from complete and incomplete markets environments. For the incomplete-markets case, we use consumption data for the 50 US states. We find that the rate of risk aversion under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088613