This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP, unemployment, price and wage inflation, interest rates, exchange-rate changes etc.) in the short run. The starting point is a so-called dynamic factor model (DFM), which is used...

The economies of Mexico and Brazil have many important commonalities, but Brazil's economy has, so far, shown more resilience to global economic crisis, which had its epicentre in Mexico's Northern neighbour. In this Economic Brief the performances of the Brazilian and Mexican economies are...