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Complex interactions in financial markets

Finger, Karl - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305495

Relative forecasting performance of volatility models : Monte Carlo evidence

Lux, Thomas; Morales-Arias, Leonardo - 2010

A Monte Carlo (MC) experiment is conducted to study the forecasting performance of a variety of volatility models under alternative data generating processes (DGPs). The models included in the MC study are the (Fractionally Integrated) Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932329

Parameter estimation and forecasting for multiplicative lognormal cascades

Leövey, Andrés E.; Lux, Thomas - 2011

We study the well-known multiplicative Lognormal cascade process in which the multiplication of Gaussian and Lognormally distributed random variables yields time series with intermittent bursts of activity. Due to the non-stationarity of this process and the combinatorial nature of such a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009389845

Multifractal models, intertrade durations and return volatility

Segnon, Mawuli - 2015

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011299266

An analysis of systematic risk in worldwide econonomic sentiment indices

Luu, Duc Thi; Yanovski, Boyan; Lux, Thomas - 2018 - Ver. January 2, 2018

tools of Random Matrix Theory (RMT) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA), our paper aims to extract latent information … embedded in the interactions between economic and business sentiment indices around the world. We find that: (i) The dynamics … collapse of the US housing market in 2007, can lead to a homogenization of the expectation structure around the world, as such …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790790

Network effects and systemic risk in the banking sector

Lux, Thomas - 2016

This paper provides a review of recent research on the structure of interbank relations and theoretical models developed to assess the contagious potential of shocks (default of single units) via the interbank network. The empirical literature has established a set of stylized facts that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011446579

Modeling and forecasting crude oil price volatility : evidence from historical and recent data

Lux, Thomas; Segnon, Mawuli; Gupta, Rangan - 2015

This paper uses the Markov-switching multifractal (MSM) model and generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 and from January 03, 1977 to March 24, 2014. Based on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966

Scaling and criticality in a stochastic multi-agent model of a financial market

Lux, Thomas; Marchesi, Michele - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001372561

Testing for non-linear structure in an artificial financial market

Chen, Shu-Heng; Lux, Thomas; Marchesi, Michele - 1999

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001372680

The core of the global corporate network

Giglio, Ricardo; Lux, Thomas - 2016

We investigate the network topology of a comprehensive data set of the world-wide population of corporate entities. In …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011436477