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The multi-fractal model of asset returns : its estimation via GMM and its use for volatility forecasting

Lux, Thomas (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001781206

Detecting multi-fractal properties in asset returns : the failure of the "scaling estimator"

Lux, Thomas (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001781208

Essays on economic sentiment dynamics and asymmetric multifractal models of financial volatility

Sushko, Stepan S. - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940057

Essays on economic sentiment dynamics and asymmetric multifractal models of financial volatility

Sushko, Stepan S. - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887751

Applications of agent-based models and nonlinear econometrics in finance

Demary, Markus - 2010

This dissertation contains applications of agent-based financial market models and nonlinear econometric methods in financial economics. The first part deals with the analysis of the effectiveness of currency transaction taxes within financial market models with traders with heterogeneous...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008664302

Extreme value theory as a theoretical background for power law behavior

Alfarano, Simone; Lux, Thomas - 2010

theory, which provide a statistical justification for the emergence of power laws as limiting behavior for extreme … fluctuations. The remarkable generality of the theory allows to abstract from the details of the system under investigation, and … therefore allows its application in many diverse fields. Moreover, this theory offers new powerful techniques for the estimation …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008654245

Switching rates and the asymptotic behavior of herding models

Irle, Albrecht; Kauschke, Jonas; Lux, Thomas; … - 2010

Markov chains have experienced a surge of economic interest in the form of behavioral agent-based models that aim at explaining the statistical regularities of financial returns. We review some of the relevant mathematical facts and show how they apply to agent-based herding models, with the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003932610

A Markov-switching multifractal approach to forecasting realized volatility

Lux, Thomas; Morales-Arias, Leonardo; Sattarhoff, Cristina - 2011

The volatility specification of the Markov-switching Multifractal (MSM) model is proposed as an alternative mechanism for realized volatility (RV). We estimate the RV-MSM model via Generalized Method of Moments and perform forecasting by means of best linear forecasts derived via the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009314521

Multifractal models in finance : their origin, properties, and applications

Segnon, Mawuli; Lux, Thomas - 2013

This chapter provides an overview over the recently developed so called multifractal (MF) approach for modeling and forecasting volatility. We outline the genesis of this approach from similar models of turbulent flows in statistical physics and provide details on different specifications of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009778581

Exact solutions for the transient densities of continuous-time Markov switching models : with an application to the poisson multifractal model

Lux, Thomas - 2013

This paper shows how exact solutions for the transient density of a large class of continuous-time Markov switching models can be obtained. We illustrate the pertinent approach for both simple diffusion models with a small number of regimes as well as for the more complicated so-called Poisson...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010128826