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We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio … setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion … of currency value because a high valuation level forecasts a relative appreciation of the foreign currency going forward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013032642
We assess the properties of currency value strategies based on real exchange rates in a cross-sectional portfolio … setting. We find that real exchange rates predict currency excess returns, but in a way that is inconsistent with the notion … of currency value because a high valuation level forecasts a relative appreciation of the foreign currency going forward …
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Using a novel database, we show that the stock-price impact of analyst trade ideas is at least as large as the impact of stock recommendation, target price, and earnings forecast changes, and that investors following trade ideas can earn significant abnormal returns. Trade ideas triggered by...
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