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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001754247
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive uni ed treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = γZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011517008
We consider the fractional cointegrated vector autoregressive (CVAR) model of Johansen and Nielsen (2012a) and show that the test statistic for the ususal CVAR model is asymptotically chi-squared distributed. Because the usual CVAR model lies on the boundary of the parameter space for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011756080
In the cointegrated vector autoregression (CVAR) literature, deterministic terms have until now been analyzed on a case-by-case, or as-needed basis. We give a comprehensive unified treatment of deterministic terms in the additive model Xt = ᵧZt + Yt, where Zt belongs to a large class of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583206
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test for cointegration rank, which is a functional of fractional Brownian motion of type II. -- Cofractional processes … ; cointegration rank ; fractional cointegration ; likelihood inferencw ; vector autoregressive model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003981839
We examine forecasting performance of the recent fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive (FCVAR) model. The model is applied to daily polling data of political support in the United Kingdom for 2010 - 2015. We compare with popular competing models and at various forecast horizons. Our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011279787
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