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number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
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This paper presents a quarterly global model linking individual country vector errorcorrecting models in which the domestic variables are related to the country-specific foreign variables. The global VAR (GVAR) model is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single economy,...
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number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
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of world output. The forecasts are compared to typical benchmarks: univariate autoregressive and random walk models …
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