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number of issues of concern about how they are estimated and then related to the underlying macroeconomic theory. The first …
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This paper estimates time-varying COVID-19 reproduction numbers worldwide solely based on the number of reported infected cases, allowing for under-reporting. Estimation is based on a moment condition that can be derived from an agent-based stochastic network model of COVID-19 transmission. The...
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observations. Our results show that the Covid-19 pandemic will lead to a significant fall in world output that is most likely long …
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This paper proposes a structural econometric approach to estimating the basic reproduction number (R0) of Covid-19. This approach identifies R0 in a panel regression model by filtering out the effects of mitigating factors on disease diffusion and is easy to implement. We apply the method to...
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