In this paper, we investigate the behavior of the bitcoin (BTC) price through the vanilla options available on the market. We calibrate a series of Markov models on the option surface. In particular, we consider the Black-Scholes model, Laplace model, five Variance Gamma related models and the...

It is generally said that out-of-the-money call options are expensive and one can ask the question from which moneyness level this is the case. Expensive actually means that the price one pays for the option is more than the discounted average payoff one receives. If so, the option bears a...

Nonlinear martingale theory is used to form lower and upper price processes straddling a martingale. The martingale return is then modeled in terms of risk charges associated with the returns on the straddling lower and upper processes. The move to physically expected returns is made via the...