Banks as financial intermediaries are broadly exposed to a wide range of economic and financial risk factors. We parse climate risk into its two main types: physical risk such as sea level rise and transition risk such as climate related policy changes (e.g., efficiency requirements or carbon...

Stress testing has become a tool of choice in banking for risk managers and regulators alike, and it is used more widely as a way to assess resilience to severely adverse events. Yet even the most creative risk manager would have been challenged to design a scenario that would have adequately...

This paper considers the problem of forecasting real and financial macroeconomic variables across a large number of countries in the global economy. To this end, a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model previously estimated over the 1979:Q1–2003:Q4 period by Dees, de Mauro, Pesaran, and...