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The appropriate design of monetary policy in integrated financial markets is one of the most challenging areas for central banks. One hot topic is whether the rise in liquidity in recent years has contributed to the formation of price bubbles in asset markets. If strong linkages exist, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291772
This paper considers a formulation of the extended constant or time-varying conditional correlation GARCH model which allows for volatility feedback of either sign, i.e., positive or negative. In the previous literature, negative volatility spillovers were ruled out by the assumption that all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277789
This article re-examines the findings of Stock and Watson (2012b) who assessed the predictive performance of dynamic factor models (DFM) over autoregressive (AR) bench-marks for hundreds of target variables by focusing on possible business cycle performance asymmetries in the spirit of Chauvet...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012546019
an important element of regional growth. However, considering spatial effects does not alter the general conclusion that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295602
The paper bases itself on recent theoretical writings in growth economics that empha-size the effects of both own R&D efforts and of interregional technology spillovers on regions´ productivity. We propose robust estimation techniques to evaluate the R&D spillovers across West German functional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295614
The paper investigates the extent to which the dollar/sterling exchange rate fluctuations affect coffee and cocoa futures prices on the London LIFFE and the New York CSCE by means of multivariate GARCH models - under the assumption that traders in perfectly competitive markets have equal access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
In this paper we examine the issue of asymmetry in the return and volatility spillover effects from the US equity market into the Canadian and Mexican equity markets. We model the conditional volatility of the returns in each of the three markets using the asymmetric power model of Ding, Granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295295
The paper presents an empirical study of volatility spillover from oil prices to stock markets within an asymmetric BEKK model. Using weekly data on the aggregate stock markets of Japan, Norway, Sweden, the U.K., and the U.S., strong evidence of volatility spillover is found for all stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321644
The papers in this special issue of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation are substantially revised versions of the papers that were presented at the 2011 Madrid International Conference on “Risk Modelling and Management” (RMM2011). The papers cover the following topics: currency hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326135
This paper features an analysis of volatility spillover effects from the US market, represented by the S&P500 index to the Australian capital market as represented by the Australian S&P200 for a period running from 12th September 2002 to 9th September 2012. This captures the impact of the Global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326245