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This paper shows that exchange rate depreciation in Serbia improves trade balance in the long run, while giving rise to a J-curve effect in the short run. These results add to the already existent empirical evidence for a diverse set of other economies. Both Johansen’s and autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008554119
This paper considers the potential impact of a shift in official foreign reserves from dollars to euros using a global DSGE model. This paper uses QUEST III, a multi-region global DSGE model, to study the macroeconomic effects of a gradual equalization of official foreign reserves between...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008459230
In a case study of six East Asian economies, we use dynamic factor analysis to estimate a regional component of the exchange market pressure index (EMPI) as a measure of regional financial stress. The extent to which this indicator is explained by regional economic and financial factors is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005368632
Which model best explains the 1991 currency crisis in India? Did real overvaluation contribute to the crisis? This paper seeks the answers through error correction models and by constructing the equilibrium real exchange rate using a technique developed by Gonzalo and Granger (1995). The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005080300
We extend the model by DeGrauwe and Grimaldi (2006, EER) by currency transaction taxes. This model explains the exchange rate behavior by the interaction of heterogeneous traders who display either trend chasing behavior or rely on a return of the exchange rate back to its arbitrage free...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005082899
We suggest a simple variant of Uzawa preferences which has the same predictions as his formulation, but is less prone to criticism. We assume that the rate of time preference is an increasing function of the total value of current financial assets. It is shown that an increase in the rate of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357401
This model demonstrates a restatement of the Mundell-Tobin effect and monetary non-superneutrality using an infinitely lived, representative agent model. The rate of time preference is assumed to be an increasing function of the total value of current financial wealth. An increase in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005357404
The paper aims to enrich the debate on the overvaluation/undervaluation of China yuan Renminbi (CNY) against USD and JPY by applying the concept of the Debt-Adjusted Real Exchange Rate (DARER). This approach is offering to monetary policy makers another indicator for more responsive management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005146926
results is that even if there is no direct cointegration relation between CPI and PPI both in Germany and USA, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005150862
different estimation methods and specifications. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005157563