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On mean reversion in real interest rates: An application of threshold cointegration
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2002
Using data from Germany, Japan, UK, and the U.S., we explore possible threshold cointegration in nominal short- and long-run interest rates with corresponding inflation rates. Traditional cointegration implies perfect mean reversion in real rates and hence confirms the Fisher hypothesis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292774
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Optimizing time-series forecasts for inflation and interest rates using simulation and model averaging
Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 2008
Motivated by economic-theory concepts - the Fisher hypothesis and the theory of the term structure - we consider a small set of simple bivariate closed-loop time-series models for the prediction of price inflation and of long- and short-term interest rates. The set includes vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294000
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Uncover Latent PPP by Dynamic Factor Error Correction Model (DF-ECM) Approach: Evidence from Five OECD Countries
Qin, Duo - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 2 (2008) 2008-7, pp. 1-26
This study explores a new modelling approach that bridges the gap between multilateral country-level data and the bilateral-model based, goods-market specific purchasing power parity (PPP) hypothesis. Under this approach, PPP is embedded in latent common factors, extractable from a large set of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295305
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National and international developments in technology – Trends, patterns and implications for policy
Koopmann, Georg; Münnich, Felix - 1999
Declining R&D intensities at the national level coincide with growing international technological links. Deviations of individual OECD countries from the average R&D intensity reflect differences in industry structure as well as in sectoral R&D intensity. At the same time, the sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295338
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Do energy prices induce progress in energy-related technology? An empirical study
Schmitz, Simon - 2001
Research efforts towards new energy sources and towards the efficiency of energy use will be vital to reducing CO2 abatement costs in the long term. Can such efforts be induced by price instruments? Economists often cite induced technological change as a possible consequence of environmental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295565
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Locating foreign affiliates in Germany: The case of Swedish MNEs
Braconier, Henrik; Ekholm, Karolina - 2001
schwedischer Tochtergesellschaften in Deutschland im Vergleich mit denen in anderen Ländern untersucht. Es zeigt sich, dass die … Multis, in Deutschland zu investieren. Dabei zeigt sich, dass die Standortentscheidung beeinflusst wird vom Niveau der … Lohnkosten in Deutschland und an anderen potentiellen Standorten in europäischen Hocheinkommensländern, aber nicht von den …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295592
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FDI versus cross-border financial services: The globalisation of German banks
Buch, Claudia M.; Lipponer, Alexander - 2004
The choice between foreign direct investment (FDI) and exports has been a recurrent theme in the literature on international trade, yet few studies have analysed this choice at the level of the individual firm. This paper uses a new dataset to study the FDI-versus-exports decision for banks. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295632
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Business cycles and FDI: evidence from German sectoral data
Buch, Claudia M.; Lipponer, Alexander - 2005
Globalization has effected business cycle developments in OECD countries and has increased activities of firms across national borders. This paper analyzes whether these two developments are linked. We use a new firm-level dataset on the foreign activities of German firms to test whether foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295678
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How safe was the "safe haven"? Financial market liquidity during the 1998 turbulences
Upper, Christian - 2000
Transaktion dieser vier Anleihen in Deutschland umfasst. Dies ist besonders für Arbeiten über den Rentenmarkt von großem Interesse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295689
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The information content of survey data on expected price developments for monetary policy
Gerberding, Christina - 2001
-Verbraucherumfrage ermittelten Daten und die von Consensus Economics erhobenen Expertenprognosen für Deutschland, Frankreich und Italien. Die …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295707