The paper describes a model for computing the trend output and the structural budget deficit in Austria. The calculation of trend output is based on a production function approach within a small macroeconomic model of the Austrian economy. A decomposition of public budgets into cyclical and...

In this short report we present simulations based on an updated version of A-LMM, the Austrian Long-run Macroeconomic Model. In addition to a baseline scenario based on the main population projection of Statistics Austria, we simulate the effects of low and high migration, high life expectancy...

We use the Austrian Long-run Macroeconomic Model (A-LMM) for a long-term projection of the Austrian economy until 2070. Our baseline scenario is the input for micro-simulation models of the Austrian pension insurance system. A-LMM is a neoclassical growth model replicating stylised facts about...

Many countries have implemented social programmes providing long-term financial or in-kind entitlements. These programmes often focus on specific age-groups and consequently their expenditure streams are subject to demographic change. Given the strains already existing on public budgets,...