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This paper examines whether the outcome bias harms price efficiency in betting exchange markets. In soccer, the match outcome is an unreliable performance measure, as it underestimates the high level of randomness involved in the sport. If bettors overestimate the importance of past match...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012820013
In this paper, I examine market inefficiencies in the NFL betting market from the 2003 season through the 2016 season. I examine the impact that division rivals and previously known determinants of inefficiencies have on the current NFL gambling market. The results show that games against...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870878
Online sports betting is growing rapidly around the world. We describe how the competitive structure of the bookmaking market affects odds when bettors disagree about the probabilities of the outcomes of sporting events but are on average correct. We show that the demand for bets on longshots is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014279650
An avalanche of empirical studies has addressed the validity of the rank-size rule (or Zipf's law) in a multi-city context in many countries. City size in most countries seems to obey Zipf's law, but the question under which conditions (e.g. sample size, spatial scale) this 'law' holds remained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011734266
increases in risk taking. Where we can separately identify changes in risk-independent performance and risk taking, our … increases in risk taking. These effects are concentrated among those closest to the margin of elimination and among lower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731884
useful for out-of-sample prediction. Nor do we find practical applications of Bernoulli functions in major risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012975977
The classical Uncertainty of Outcome Hypothesis (UOH) informs economists' understanding consumer decisions to attend sporting events and models of team revenue generation. Coates, Humphreys and Zhou (2014) developed a reference dependent preference based consumer choice model under uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976940
useful for out-of-sample prediction. Nor do we find practical applications of Bernoulli functions in major risk … potentially observable opportunities rather than on unobservable Bernoulli functions. -- expected utility ; risk aversion ; St …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009151813
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