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This paper represents the first empirical study to investigate the effects of interest rate spread shocks before and after the implementation of LSAPs (Federal Reserve large-scale asset purchases) on energy consumption for different sectors. The US monthly data (2002–2015) for interest rate...
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This study investigates the international spillover effects of US unconventional monetary policy (UMP) - frequently called large-scale asset purchases or quantitative easing (QE) - on advanced and emerging market economies, using structural vector autoregressive models with high-frequency daily...
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The predictive power of the yield curve slope, or the yield spread is well established in the United States (US) and European Union (EU) countries since 1998. However, there exists a gap in the literature on the predictive power of the yield spread on the Chinese economy. This paper provides a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012038563
In line with term structure theory, empirical studies suggest that it is difficult to beat the random walk in forecasting long-term interest rates. We ask whether consumer survey data on both mortgage interest rates and expected inflation help beat the random walk in forecasting the 30-year...
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The cyclical variation behavior of the mortgage spread has motivated some studies to investigate its relationship to economic activity. Indeed, recent empirical findings indicate that the mortgage spread is a determinant/predictor of economic activity. We define the mortgage spread as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011905193
This article makes an analytical comparison between simple, compound and continuous interest discount factors. It studies the equivalency relations between the three discount factors. An analysis is performed for a limited time period and of normal economy interest rates. It makes use of the...
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