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This paper analyzes the channels through which financial crises exert long-term negative effects on output. Recent models suggest that a shortfall in productivity-enhancing investments temporarily slows technological progress, creating a gap between pre-crisis trend and actual GDP. This...
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variables. We find, using over 100 years of U.S. data, that in the long run the effect of inflation on investment and output is … positive (a "Tobin type effect") and the investment rate, and hence the real interest rate, are not independent of inflation …
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