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This paper uses a global input-output framework to quantify US and EU demand spillovers and the elasticity of world … simultaneously, our framework delivers an elasticity of world trade to GDP of nearly 3. Thus, demand alone can account for 70 percent …
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export goods. The institutes therefore expect lower export growth and weaker investment demand in Germany for next year. All …Die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland ist mit hoher Dynamik in das Jahr 2011 gestartet. Vieles spricht derzeit … Binnen- als auch die Auslandsnachfrage die Konjunktur treiben. Im Verlauf des Prognosezeitraums dürfte die konjunkturelle …
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Growth fluctuations exhibit substantial synchronization across countries, which has been viewed as reflecting a global business cycle driven by shocks with worldwide reach, or spillovers resulting from local real and/or financial linkages between countries. This paper brings these two...
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