Preface -- Chapter 1. Introduction: views on economic crises in the 21st century -- Chapter 2. A review of the history of the economy and its concepts: change is a constant -- Chapter 3. Keynes' and Minsky's macroeconomics -- Chapter 4. Outlook on the transformation of the market economy and its...

GARCH Models have become a workhouse in volatility forecasting of financial and monetary market time series. In this article, we assess the small sample properties in estimation and the performance in volatility forecasting of four competing distribution free methods, including quasi-maximum...

We analyze around 200 different financial time series, i.e. components of Dow Jones, Nasdaq, FTSE and Nikkei with seven different VaR approaches. We differentiate our analysis according to characteristics that can be observed. Our analysis shows that in high risk situations in which the time...