Forecasters experienced considerable difficulty in recognizing rising inflation and predicting its intensity in 1972-82. Possible explanations discussed are: 1) unpredictable supply shocks, 2) excessive attention to nonmonetary developments, and 3) actual money growth overshooting its targeted...

Before the mid-1960's economists generally accepted, with two major exceptions, the neoclassical theory of aggregate labor supply, i.e., the theory that the number or workers supplied to the market varied with wages, population, and work preferences, with work preferences and population treated...

Much attention has been devoted to the peculiar behavior of the unemployment rate from 1969 to 1973.

This paper contends that National Income Accounts (NIA) saving rates have been sending out misleading signals about the U.S. economy in the 1980s. The individuals' saving rate from the flow-of-funds accounts (FFA) is shown to be a much better indicator of resources available for future economic...