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Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - 2015

This paper looks into the 'fine print' of boosting for economic forecasting. By using German industrial production for the period from 1996 to 2014 and a data set consisting of 175 monthly indicators, we evaluate which indicators get selected by the boosting algorithm over time and four...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011411839

Revisiting the relationship between exchange rates and output within SVAR Blanchard-Quah framework : empirical evidence from Turkey, Germany and Russia

Ozcelebi, Oguzhan; Yildirim, Nurtac - In: Economic and business review : EBR 13 (2011) 3, pp. 179-198

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011614539

Looking into the black box of boosting : the case of Germany

Lehmann, Robert; Wohlrabe, Klaus - In: Applied economics letters 23 (2016) 16/18, pp. 1229-1233

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011702145

Forecasting industrial production in Germany : the predictive power of leading indicators

Schlösser, Alexander - 2020

unterschiedlicher Finanzmarktindikatoren, um die Industrieproduktion in Deutschland vorherzusagen. Die Prognoseeigenschaften, innerhalb …We investigate the predictive power of several leading indicators in order to forecast industrial production in Germany …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012149544

Comparing sentiment- and behavioral-based leading indexes for industrial production : when does each fail?

Seip, Knut Lehre; Yilmaz, Yunus; Schröder, Michael - In: Economies : open access journal 7 (2019) 4/104, pp. 1-18

production (IP) in Germany. We obtain three sets of results. First, we show that the sentiment-based ifo index performs best in … great moderation” in the US at the end of a minor depression in Germany. Around 2005, oil prices increased from $10 to $60 a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132320