Bernoth, Kerstin; Hagen, Jürgen von; Vries, Casper G. de - 2010
We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two … days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity … decomposed into a contract-specific and a time- to-maturity effect. Once we do this, we find that the coefficients on the forward …