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A strict linear proportionality between the CPI inflation and the actual interest rate defined by the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System is studied. During the last 70 years, the cumulative CPI is just the cumulative interest rate times 1.37. There are periods when the Fed interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015214201
A microeconomic model is developed, which accurately predicts the shape of personal income distribution (PID) in the United States and the evolution of the shape over time. The underlying concept is borrowed from geo-mechanics and thus can be considered as mechanics of income distribution. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215666
Headline CPI, core CPI, and indices for various small expenditure categories were analyzed. Sustainable long-term linear trends have been found in the difference between the headline CPI and these indices. Overall, the results completely support our previous findings for such principal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215770
There is no Phillips curve in the United States, i.e. unemployment does not drive inflation at any time horizon. There is a statistically robust anti-Phillips curve - inflation leads unemployment by 10 quarters. Apparently, the anti-Phillips curve would be the conventional one, if the time would...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215800
Significant differences in the evolution of firm size distribution for various industries in the United States have been revealed and documented. For theoretical considerations, this finding puts major constraints on the modelling of firm growth. For practical purposes, the observed differences...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015215857
Using an analog of the boundary element method in engineering and science, we analyze and model unemployment rate in Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a function of inflation and the change in labor force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216327
The growth rate of real GDP per capita is represented as a sum of two components – a monotonically decreasing economic trend and fluctuations related to the change in some specific age population. The economic trend is modeled by an inverse function of real GDP per capita with a constant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216399
Economics does not need a scientific revolution. Economics needs accurate measurements according to high standards of natural sciences and meticulous work on revealing empirical relationships between measured variables.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216416
Linear relationships between inflation, unemployment, and labor force are obtained for two European countries - Austria and France. The best fit models of inflation as a linear and lagged function of labor force change rate and unemployment explain more than 90% of observed variation (R20.9)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216465
The transition of former socialist countries to capitalist economic system is modelled for the period between 1989 and 2007. The transition is entirely defined by three empirical parameters and the model describes only the evolution of real GDP per capita since the start of the disintegration of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015216665