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variable for Swedish inflation than the output gap. However, standard errors in the estimations are large and it is in fact … difficult to pin down a statistically significant relationship between either real marginal cost or the output gap and inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320755
This paper identifies the output gap using the theoretical definition of the gap within a Phillips curve. The results show that the output gap is large and persistent. Furthermore, the output gap is not correlated with the stochastic trend which is similar to the asumption used in the unobserved...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005056569
Modern theories of inflation incorporate a vertical long-run Phillips curve and are usually estimated using techniques … that ignore the non-stationary behaviour of inflation. Consequently, the estimates obtained are imprecise and are unable to … distinguish between competing models of inflation and test the veracity of a vertical long-run Phillips curve. We estimate a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005744361
In this paper we study the relationship between output and inflation for India, Brazil, and South Africa using the … EGARCH model. For India and South Africa, we find evidence for: (1) the Cukierman and Meltzer hypothesis that inflation … volatility raises inflation; (2) the Friedman hypothesis that inflation raises inflation volatility; and (3) the Black hypothesis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009274392
We examine real uncertainty (measured by the variability of real growth) and whether it impacts on inflation … uncertainty on inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321060
, we focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its interaction … aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation decline that was … unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive, consistent with an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014199200
This study provides estimates of economic uncertainty and inflation uncertainty for the Greek economy and considers … their time-varying impact on the corresponding macroeconomic variables, i.e. GDP growth and inflation. The authors find that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014077830
particular, they focus not only on real activity, which has received most attention to date, but also on inflation and its … most extreme aspects concern a real activity decline that was unusually long but less unusually deep, and an inflation … decline that was unusually deep but brief; and (3) its real activity and inflation interactions were strongly positive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012906127
Despite closing output gaps and tightening labor markets, inflation has remained low inthe euro area. Based on an … augmented Phillips Curve framework, we find that thisphenomenon-sometimes attributed to low global inflation-has been primarily … causedby a remarkable persistence of inflation, keeping it low despite the reduction in slack. Thisfeature is shown to be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910359
The post-pandemic rise in consumer prices across the world has renewed interest in inflation dynamics after decades of … global disinflation. This paper contributes to the literature by providing a granular investigation of inflation persistence … at the city level in Lithuania during the period 2000–2021, as well as a comparison of inflation persistence at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013491983