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This paper examines volatility spillovers from changes in the size of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve (FED) and European Central Bank (ECB) to emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2003 to 2014. We find that EME bond markets are most susceptible to positive volatility spillovers from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667194
This paper examines volatility spillovers from changes in the size of the balance sheets of the Federal Reserve (FED) and European Central Bank (ECB) to emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2003 to 2014. We find that EME bond markets are most susceptible to positive volatility spillovers from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011636172
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298290
Using a unique high-frequency futures dataset, we characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. We find that news produces conditional mean jumps, hence high-frequency stock, bond and exchange rate dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440071
We characterize the response of U.S., German and British stock, bond and foreign exchange markets to real-time U.S. macroeconomic news. Our analysis is based on a unique data set of high-frequency futures returns for each of the markets. We find that news surprises produce conditional mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005022409
This paper compares the true, ex-ante forecasting performance of a micro-based model against both a standard macro … model and a random walk. In contrast to existing literature, which is focused on longer horizon forecasting, we examine … forecasting over horizons from one day to one month (the one-month horizon being where micro and macro analysis begin to overlap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622961
correlation (ADCC)-EGRARCH framework, we find that the average correlation between BRIS currencies in the pre-crisis period is low … and stood at 0.29, which rose to 0.39 in the post-crisis period implying contagion effects. Based on both ADCC results and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014001605
correlation (ADCC)-EGRARCH framework, we find that the average correlation between BRIS currencies in the pre-crisis period is low … and stood at 0.29, which rose to 0.39 in the post-crisis period implying contagion effects. Based on both ADCC results and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014232595
This paper is a necessary companion to the one entitled The West European Woollen Industries and their Struggles for International Markets, c.1000 - 1500. No one can properly comprehend that five-century history of international competition for textile markets, without some basic understanding...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827217
This paper revisits, modifies, and combines elements of three major 'institutional' international-trade models, none of which has yet fully received the attention that it deserves, to provide a new explanation for the growth, decline, and then rebirth of internationally-oriented fairs in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005827218